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Hello and welcome to the movie blog of author John DeFrank - FilmZ and Guy Sobriquet Malone - Researcher

2017: Early Look at Movie Awards Prospects


2017: Early Look at Movie Awards Prospects by Guy S. Malone, Researcher

Some of 2017's most anticipated films have not even been released yet, but awards handicappers are already hard at work.  Nominations for some major awards are still two months away, which means we're dealing with a smattering of educated guesses on top of some wild guesses.
In our compilation below it's important to note two qualifications:
1) the lists are will likely change over the next eight weeks, and we will keep you updated;
2) these films, performances, and achievements do not necessarily coincide with those FilmZ and I consider to be the BEST, but rather most awards-friendly.  (We will post our personal favorites sometime after the New Year.)

Below, we have compiled ten major categories as we picture them panning out if award nominations were to be released tomorrow.
Within each group--Frontrunners and Threats--candidates are alphabetically ordered.  The favorite in each category is in Bold

BEST PICTURE
Frontrunners
Call Me By Your Name
The Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Threats
The Big Sick
The Florida Project
Get Out
Molly's Game
Mudbound
The Phantom Thread
Victoria and Abdul


DIRECTOR
Frontrunners
Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water 
Luca Guadagnino - Call Me by Your Name
Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
Steven Spielberg - The Post 

Threats
Paul Thomas Anderson - Phantom Thread 
Darren Aronofsky - mother! 
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
Jordan Peele - Get Out 
Joe Wright - Darkest Hour

ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margo Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
Meryl Streep - The Post

Threats
Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game
Judy Dench - Victoria and Abdul
Jennifer Lawrence - mother!
Daniela Vega - A Fantastic Woman
Kate Winslett - Wonder Wheel

ACTOR
Frontrunners
Timothée Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name 
Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread
James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Tom Hanks - The Post
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour

Threats
Andrew Garfield - Breathe
Jake Gyllenhaal - Stronger
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
Jeremy Renner - Wind River
Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Mary J. Blige -- Mudbound
Holly Hunter -- The Big Sick 
Allison Janney -- I, Tonya
Melissa Leo -- Novitiate 
Laurie Metcalf -- Lady Bird

Threats
Hong Chau - Downsizing
Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread 
Michelle Pfeiffer - mother! 
Kristen Scott Thomas - The Darkest Hour
Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water


SUPPORTING ACTOR
Frontrunners
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
Richard Jenkins -  The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me By Your Name

Threats
Idris Elba - Molly's Game
Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Ben Mendelsohn - The Darkest Hour
Mark Rylance - Dunkirk
Michael Shannon - The Shape of Water


CINEMATOGRAPHY
Frontrunners
Roger Deakins - Blade Runner 2049
Sayombhu Mukdeeprom - Call Me by Your Name
Bruno Delbonnel - Darkest Hour
Dan Laustsen - The Shape of Water
Hoyte van Hoytema - Dunkirk

Threats
Alexis Zabe - The Florida Project
Janusz Kaminski - The Post
Edward Lachman - Wonderstruck
Philippe LeSourd - The Beguiled
Rachel Morrison - Mudbound
Vittorio Storaro - Wonder Wheel

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Frontrunners
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Threats
The Big Sick
The Darkest Hour
The Florida Project
mother!
The Phantom Thread

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Frontrunners
Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Last Flag Flying
Molly's Game
Mudbound

Threats
The Beguiled
The Death of Stalin
Logan
Victoria and Abdul
Wonderstruck

EDITING
Frontrunners
Bladerunner: 2049
The Darkest Hour 
Dunkirk
The Shape Of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Threats
Baby Driver
Call Me By Your Name
Get Out
mother!
The Post

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