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Hello and welcome to the movie blog of author John DeFrank - FilmZ and Guy Sobriquet Malone - Researcher

2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions


2020 Oscar Nominations Predictions (Guesses, Preferences..) -- FilmZ & Guy S. Malone, Researcher

The 2020 Academy Awards nominations come out on Monday, January 13, so we've had to hustle and submit our picks to Gold Derby before we even had a chance to write reviews of late-release movies we've been rushing out to see.  What you see below are our predictions--plus guesses, and in some cases, wishes--for names and titles that will be called out on Monday.  We admit some are reaches, but they are picks from the heart rather than the mind (we'll save cold-blooded objectivity for when it counts (besides, not all of the data is even in yet).

Each category that follows is ranked from most-to-least likely, in our opinion.

BEST PICTURE
The Academy can nominate up to ten films in the Best Picture category; the real guessing game is how many.  We think ten are deserving and they will pick between seven and nine, but only the first five listed below are shoo-ins.

1917
Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood
The Irishman
Parasite
Joker
JoJo Rabbit
Marriage Story
Little Women
Knives Out
Ford v Ferrari


DIRECTOR
Mendes and Tarantino are locks, Bong and Scorsese and likely, and Waititi is our wish bolstered by his out of left field nomination from the Directors Guild. A lot of experts say Todd Phillips (Joker) nabs the fifth spot, though we feel if Waititi can't make it, we would like to see Greta Gerwig (Little Women) break through.

Sam Mendes - 1917
Quentin Tarantino - Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood
Bong Joon Ho - Parasite
Martin Scorsese - The Irishman
Taika Waititi - Jojo Rabbit


ACTRESS
Zellweger has been the clear favorite for months.  Scar-Jo gave her best-ever performance, but does she carry the AMPAS loyalty that Theron and Ronan do, and Awkwafina has our love for her funny but touching performance.

Renee Zellweger - Judy
Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story
Charlize Theron - Bombshell
Saoirse Ronan - Little Women
Awkwafina - The Farewell

ACTOR
Phoenix is the one to beat. Driver keeps showing his chops, DiCaprio in his standard performance and Banderas portraying a soul-searcher all have puncher's chances.  Egerton is excellent, but no way does the Academy award a rock star portrayal two years in a row.  Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes), Eddie Murphy (Dolemite is my Name), and Christian Bale (Ford v Ferrari) have outside shots.

Joaquin Phoenix - Joker
Adam Driver - Marriage Story
Leonardo DiCaprio - Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood
Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory
Taron Egerton - Rocketman


SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Most lists include Margot Robbie (Bombshell and/or Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood), but we just don't get it, especially when one sees the performances of the women below, and you could add Zhao Shuzhen (The Farewell) too.

Laura Dern - Marriage Story
Jennifer Lopez - Hustlers
Florence Pugh - Little Women
Scarlett Johansson - JoJo Rabbit
Annette Bening - The Report


SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe (The Lighthouse), Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes), or Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy), could break in here with no raised eyebrows.

Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time ...  in Hollywood
Joe Pesci - The Irishman
Tom Hanks - A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Song Kang Ho - Parasite
Al Pacino - The Irishman
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For the rest of the categories, we will just list picks with no comment

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Irishman - Steve Zaillian
Jojo Rabbit - Taika Waititi
Little Women - Greta Gerwig
Joker - Todd Phillips & Scott Silver
The Two Popes - Anthony McCarten


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Parasite - Bong Joon Ho & Han Jin Won
Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood - Quentin Tarantino
Marriage Story - Noah Baumbach
Knives Out - Rian Johnson
1917 - Sam Mendes, Krysty Wilson-Cairns

CINEMATOGRAPHY

1917 - Roger Deakins
Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood - Robert Richardson
Ford v Ferrari - Phedon Papamichael
Parasite - Kyung-Pyo Hong
A Hidden Life - Jörg Widmer

FILM EDITING

1917
Ford v Ferrari
Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood
Parasite
Joker

COSTUME DESIGN
Little Women
Rocketman
Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood
Dolemite Is My Name
Downton Abbey

MAKE-UP and HAIRSTYLING

Joker
Rocketman
Judy
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Dolemite Is My Name

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Irishman
1917
Little Women
Jojo Rabbit

SOUND EDITING

Ford v Ferrari
1917
Avengers: Endgame
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Ad Astra

SOUND MIXING

Ford v Ferrari
1917
Avengers: Endgame
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Rocketman

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Endgame
1917
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
The Lion King
Alita: Battle Angel

ANIMATED FEATURE

Missing Link
Toy Story 4
Frozen II
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Apollo 11
Honeyland
American Factory
The Biggest Little Farm
One Child Nation

INTERNATIONAL FILM

Parasite
Pain and Glory
Atlantics
Honeyland
Les Miserables

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